Dr. Habil. Peter Haiss (http://ssrn.com/author=115752)
Description:
Will the Eurozone break up, the Euro disappear as a currency – or will the pending reform measures (European Stability Mechanism, EU Banking Union, centralization of bank supervision at the ECB/European Central Bank etc) save it? Since the inception of the Euro in 1999, European financial markets and interest rates converged – till after the Lehmann failure. What turned the US-subprime lending crisis into the European debt crisis? How to deal with Greece, will it go bankrupt? What is the role of financial products, markets, institutions, and regulations (eq derivatives, hedge funds, shadow banks, rating agencies, deregulation) as cause or cure? The goal of the course is to understand European monetary integration amidst the global financial crisis. Students will learn things like how Greece cheated on the entry criteria; why the UK, Sweden and Denmark stayed outside the Euro zone; and how European and US financial markets and institutions differ. Against the financial market turmoil, the course is intended to enable participants to discuss the impact of currency risk on companies and ways to handle it; the changes EMU brings about to the EU and the US, its pros and cons; and pending issues like euro area enlargement, dollarization/euroization, financial market integration (success or failure?), country ratings, pending reforms (debt breaks, the European Stability Mechanism) and how to resolve the Greek debt problem.
Prerequisites:
Script and assigned readings. Previous course in economics, finance or banking is recommended, though not required. Students should have an interest in the developments and trends of international banking and finance and the current global financial crisis.
Learning outcomes:
Knowledge and Understanding
By the end of the semester, the students will have:
Knowledge of types and measurement of risks inherent to financial markets
An understanding of the making and problems of European Monetary Union (Euro)
Knowledge of the differences between financial markets and institutions EU vs. US
An understand ing of the impact of the Euro on financial markets in Europe and the U.S.
Familiarity with European specifics and measures in the current global financial crisis
Knowledge on the financial and economic specifics of transition economies from Eastern Europe
Cognitive and subject specific skills
The ability to discuss financial and economic affairs from both a European and a US point of view
The ability to interpret scholarly articles on European financial and economic issues (e.g. financial sector Foreign Direct Investment, foreign currency loans, European banking supervision)
The ability to discuss the impact of the Euro on financial markets and of the role of the European Central Bank compared to the Fed (e.g. during the financial crisis)
Field study:
Qualified students will be given the opportunity to participate at related Seminars at the WIIW Vienna institute (http://www.wiiw.at/e/upcoming_events.html) and local scholarly conferences and workshops e.g. by the Austrian National Bank (http://www.oenb.at/en/) or at local universities.
Required work and form of assessment:
Midterm exam 20%; final exam 30%; class participation 20%; term paper proposal 10%; term paper 20%.
content:
1: Risk, Financial Management and Governance Culture – European aspects of the crisis
Intro to debt and risk management, foreign exchange risks and hedging. Intercultural competence: socio-economic roots of differences in EU banking; corporate governance in EU/US compared.
2: The Monetary Regime in Europe before EMU
The European Monetary System & the Exchange Rate Mechanism 1, The Changeover to the Euro, entry criteria and how Greece and others cheated these.
3: Implications of EMU/EU Financial Integration and the current financial crisis
European Central Bank and economic policy, economic and political implications of EMU; implications to banking and financial markets, to capital and foreign exchange markets, how companies had to adapt. Revision of the Stability & Growth Pact; Pros and cons for the UK to join. The Greek debt problem, the European Stabilization Mechanism, and issues of cross-border banking.
4: EMU and the US-$ in the global financial crisis; Ongoing EMU-enlargement
The Euro´s international role and implications to $/U.S., the euro and implementation in New EU Member States from Central and Eastern Europe.
Research exercises on:
“European aspects of the global financial market crisis” and
“The Greek debt crisis – financial, economic & political causes, consequences & ways out” e.g. with James Ignatief (2012): If I were 25 & Greek http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ID8UPXcxS10
Module 1:
Risk, Financial Management and Governance Culture – European aspects of the crisis
Introduction to risk management (Readings part 1/1):
Functions and types of financial risks, financial markets and market participants. sources of finance and the cost of capital. The determinants of market interest rates. capital formation process and money. Differences between the U.S. and Europe. The current global financial crisis, causes and particular European issues (including http://crisisofcredit.com/)
Foreign exchange risks and internal hedging techniques (readings 1/2)
The nature of a companies´ foreign exchange exposure: measurement and risk identification. Understanding what is going on the market, forecasts and steps for effective forex risk management. Company-internal techniques for hedging risk.
Intercultural Competence: socio-economic roots of differences in EU banking (readings 1/3)
An introduction into functions and types of financial markets and participants. The capital formation process and the different emphasis in „fluid“ capital-market-driven (US) vs. „dedicated“ universal banking-driven (continental European) markets. Different reform paths in the US and the EU.
Corporate Governance in the EU (readings 1 / 4)
Characteristics of corporate finance and corporate governance in the euro area compared to the U.S: ownership structure and investor relations (financial stake-holder relations…), financial transparency and information disclosure (accounting practices, “comply or explain” …), board management structure and process (the role of non-executive directors, stock option plans …).
Module 2: The Monetary Regime in Europe before EMU
Pre-reading: EU-Institutions and Membership
The EU Commission, The EU Council, The EU Parliament and their tasks. The Copenhagen EU-membership criteria and their application.
The evolutionary Process since 1945 (readings 2/1):
From Bretton Woods to the European Monetary System; pegging, floating, managed float. The creation of monetary zones and optimal currency areas.
The European Monetary System and the Exchange Rate Mechanism as Predecessors to EMU (readings 2/2)
Coordination of European monetary and exchange rate policies since 1957. The European Monetary System as an intermediate model towards EMU. Functions and usage of the ECU. EU-legislation for the financial sector and resulting implications.
The Changeover to the Euro (readings 2/3)
The introduction of the single EU currency "Euro" in non-cash format (1999), participants and convergency criteria, timetable, determination of conversion rates, the tasks during the dual cash-period in early 2002; how governments cheated in EMU-entry, and the role of derivatives.
Module 3: Implications of EMU/EU Financial Integration and the current financial crisis
EMU: The European Central Bank and Economic Policy (readings 3/1)
Goals and instruments monetary policy in general. Comparing the US-Fed to the European System of Central Banks (ESCB); the ECB´s institutional setting, monetary policy instruments & economic policy within the Eurozone (http://www.ecb.int/pub/pdf/other/escb_web_2011en.pdf see also http://www.ecb.int/ecb/educational/html/index.en.html) and measures set during the financial crisis.
The Stability and Growth Pact and the European Stabilization Fund/Mechanism (readings 3/2)
The conduct of monetary and fiscal policies within EMU, the non-compliance of Greece and others. Rationale, changes and implications of the SGP (http://www.ecb.int/pub/pdf/scpops/ecbocp129.pdf). Government solvency in EU countries; the EUR 750 bn (USD 950 bn) stabilization fund & rescue package and central bank and the EFSF (European Financial Stability Facility) and the European Stability Fund as its permanent successor help to defend the Euro (http://www.efsf.europa.eu/about/index.htm)
Economic & Political Implications of EMU: Should the UK join? (readings 3/3)
Opportunities & risks of Monetary Union, the case for and the case against EMU. Pros´ & cons of Monetary Union to economies & business. Optimal Currency Area (OCA) theory and conditions, including http://www.econ.ku.dk/okombe/intmonecon/slidesch13part1.pdf and part 2.
EMU & Banking Integration in the EU: (readings 3/4)
Effects of EMU on the banking systems, bank consolidation and cross-border banking. Banking strategies after the Euro, how companies had to adapt. Challenges for EU cross border bank supervision, the functions of the European Systemic Risk Board (ESRB) and the European System of Financial Supervisors, including the European Banking Authority and its “stress tests”.
EMU & Capital Market Integration in the EU (readings 3/5):
European stock and bond markets, privatization and small-caps after EMU. Implications of the Euro to bond, stock and derivatives markets. Stock exchanges in the battle for efficiency and markets. Ongoing reforms efforts by the EU Commission. The EU sovereign debt markets, government bonds, the current financial crisis and the European Securities and Markets (supervisory) Authority.
Module 4: EMU and the US-$ in the global financial crisis; Ongoing EMU-Enlargement
The Euro´s International Role and Implications to $/U.S.A. (4/1)
The Euro as international unit of account, medium of exchange and store of value in the private and official markets. Implications of the Euro for international financial markets, for the U.S. Federal Reserve System and the U.S. Dollar.
The Euro in Central & Eastern Europe & EMU (4/2)
Slovenia (2007) and Slovakia (2009) already introduced the Euro, Estonia will join in 2011. Seven more Central and Eastern European (CEE) countries that joined the EU in 2004/2007 are obliged to introduce the Euro, i.e. to join the Euro zone upon fulfilling the Maastricht criteria, while the Euro is already in use in parts of former Yugoslavia. CEE thus is already an extended euro area. We will discuss the criteria (should the same criteria be applied for countries still in transition from a planned to a market economy as was the case for stable economies?, candidates and process; economic, institutional and political prerequisites for participation in EMU; ERM II and how to prepare, taking the introduction of the Euro in Slovakia and Slovenia as recent examples.
Required readings:
Agenor, P. (2001). Benefits and costs of international financial integration: theory and facts, World Bank Policy Research Working Paper 2699, http://ideas.repec.org/p/wbk/wbrwps/2699.html
Allen, F. / Beck, T. / Carletti, E. / Lane, P. / Schoenmaker, D. / Wagner, W. (2011): Cross-Border Banking in Europe: Implications for Financial Stability and Macroeconomic Policies, Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR), London, http://www.cepr.org/pubs/books/CEPR/cross-border_banking.pdf
Balakrishnan, Ravi; Danninger, Stephan; Elekdag, Selim; Tytell, Irina (2009): The Transmission of Financial Stress from Advanced to Emerging Economies, Working Paper No. 09/133, http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/cat/longres.cfm?sk=23039.0
Barroso, José (2012): A Blueprint for a deep and genuine Economic and Monetary Union: Launching a European debate, European Commission Press Release IP/12/1272 Event Date: 28/11/2012, http://europa.eu/rapid/press-release_IP-12-1272_en.htm
Becker, Werner (2002): United Kingdom, Sweden and Denmark on the way to EMU? In: EMU Watch no.95/Aug. 2002, Deutsche Bank Research, http://www.dbresearch.com
Berglöf, Erik / Korniyenko, Yevgeniya / Plekhanov, Alexander / Zettelmeyer, Jeromin (2009): Understanding the crisis in emerging Europe (on the role of foreign banks), EBRD Working Paper 109, Dec. 2009, http://www.ebrd.com/pubs/econo/wp0109.htm
Epstein, Rachel / Johnson, Juliet (2010): Uneven Integration: Economic and Monetary Union in Central and Eastern Europe, Journal of Common Market Studies 48(5): 1237-1260
Genberg, Hans (1991): The European Monetary System, in: Aliber, R. (ed.): Handbook of Int´l Financial Management.
Heinen, N. (2009): Debt brakes for Euroland: Strengthening the stability pact with national debt rule, EU Monitor 74, July 2010, Deutsche Bank Research, www.dbresearch.com
Herrmann, S. / Mihaljek, D. (2010): The determinants of cross-border bank flows to emerging markets: new empirical evidence on the spread of financial crises, BIS Working Papers No 315, July 2010, http://www.bis.org/publ/work315.htm
Paul, Donna / Wooster, Rossitza (2008): Strategic Investments by US firms in transition economies, Journal of International Business Studies 39(2): 249-28.
Popov, Alexander and Udell, Gregory (2010): Cross-border banking and the international transmission of financial distress during the crisis of 2007-2008, ECB Working Paper No. 1203, June 2010, http://www.ecb.int/pub/pubbydate/2010/html/index.en.html
Porter, M. (1992): Capital Disadvantage: America´s Failing Capital Investment System. In: Harvard Business Review, Sept-Oct. 1992, pp. 65-82.
Schuknecht, Ludger / Houtot, Philippe / Stark, Jürgen (2011): The Stability & Growth Pact – crisis and reform, ECB occasional paper no. 129, Sept, 2011, http://www.ecb.int/pub/pdf/scpops/ecbocp129.pdf
Stolz, Stéphanie Marie and Wedow, Michael (2010): Extraordinary measures in extraordinary times – Public measures in support of the financial sector in the EU and the United States, ECB Occasional Paper No. 117, July 2010, http://www.ecb.int/pub/pubbydate/2010/html/index.en.html
The Economist: July 9, 1994: Bretton Woods revisited; Feb. 19, 1996: Stake-holder capitalism; Oct. 24, 1998: The merits of one money; Nov. 7, 1998: Euro unready for blast-off; Nov. 21, 1998: Europe´s American dream; Jan. 2, 1999: Gambling on the Euro; Oct. 23, 1999: Finance, trick or treat; Oct. 30, 1999: The business of banking; Nov. 14, 1998: the international Euro; Nov. 20, 1999: Central banks: monopoly power over money; Nov. 27, 1999: Derivatives -future perfect; April. 29, 2000: European business- lean, mean, European; June 17, 2000: Stock exchanges – the battle for efficient markets; May 2002: Company Accounts: Badly in need of repair; June 15, 2002: Corporate Governance – Designed by committee; Nov. 29, 2003: The death of the stability pact, Feb. 7, 2004: Let the dollar drop; Briefing Iceland – Cracks in the Crust, Dec. 13, 2008; Homeward Bound – Globalisation under strain, Briefing, The Economist Feb. 7, 2009: 69-70; Emergency Repairs, May 13, 2010, http://www.economist.com/research/articlesBySubject/PrinterFriendly.cfm?story_id=13057265; World´s worst menu – Greece has no good options left, May 26, 2011, http://www.economist.com/node/18744305; The euro deal: no big bazooka, Briefing, The Economist Oct. 29, 2011.
von Hagen J. and Wolff G.B. (2006): What do deficits tell us about debt? Empirical evidence on creative accounting with fiscal rules in the EU, Journal of Banking and Finance vol. 30 Nr. 12: 3259-3279
Zestos, George (2006): European Monetary Integration, Thomson Southwestern: Mason, OH
Recommended readings:
BIS-Publications http://www.bis.org (Bank for International Settlement) => link to all central banks
Peter R. Haiss earned a Ph.D. (Dr. Habil.) in Business Administration from the WU Vienna University of Economics and Business, Vienna, Austria, and a MBA from the University of Illinois at Urbana- Champaign, U.S.A. He is currently lecturer at WU Vienna University of Economics and Business where since 1996 he has taught seminars and lectures on Financial Sector Foreign Direct Investment (FDI), Automotive FDI, EU-enlargement and European Financial/Economic Integration and heads a research team on the impact of the financial sector on the economy. He also is with UniCredit Bank Austria in Vienna, Austria. Current research areas focus on the finance-growth nexus/financial sector transition/integration in the EU and Central and Eastern Europe as well as on international business/strategy and competitiveness (FDI, CEE strategies, financial and automotive industries). To access his papers see http://ssrn.com/author=115752 or http://wu-wien.academia.edu/PeterHaiss/Papers.
Fasiangova, Lucia and Haiss, Peter (2009): Lessons from the Financial Crisis: Is National Supervision of International Markets to Blame? Wirtschaftspolitische Blätter 03/09: 389-405, http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1477388
Fink, Gerhard - Haiss, Peter and Vuksic, Goran (2009): Contribution of Financial Market Segments at Different Stages of Development: Transition, Cohesion and Mature Economies Compared, Journal of Financial Stability 5(4): 431-455, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jfs.2008.05.002
Haiss, Peter and Sümegi, Kiell (2008): The Relationship of Insurance and Economic Growth in Europe - A Theoretical and Empirical Analysis, Empirica 35(4): 405-431, http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10663-008-9075-2.
Will the Eurozone break up, the Euro disappear as a currency – or will the pending reform measures (European Stability Mechanism, EU Banking Union, centralization of bank supervision at the ECB/European Central Bank etc) save it? Since the inception of the Euro in 1999, European financial markets and interest rates converged – till after the Lehmann failure. What turned the US-subprime lending crisis into the European debt crisis? How to deal with Greece, will it go bankrupt? What is the role of financial products, markets, institutions, and regulations (eq derivatives, hedge funds, shadow banks, rating agencies, deregulation) as cause or cure? The goal of the course is to understand European monetary integration amidst the global financial crisis. Students will learn things like how Greece cheated on the entry criteria; why the UK, Sweden and Denmark stayed outside the Euro zone; and how European and US financial markets and institutions differ. Against the financial market turmoil, the course is intended to enable participants to discuss the impact of currency risk on companies and ways to handle it; the changes EMU brings about to the EU and the US, its pros and cons; and pending issues like euro area enlargement, dollarization/euroization, financial market integration (success or failure?), country ratings, pending reforms (debt breaks, the European Stability Mechanism) and how to resolve the Greek debt problem.
Script and assigned readings. Previous course in economics, finance or banking is recommended, though not required. Students should have an interest in the developments and trends of international banking and finance and the current global financial crisis.
Knowledge and Understanding
By the end of the semester, the students will have:
Cognitive and subject specific skills
Qualified students will be given the opportunity to participate at related Seminars at the WIIW Vienna institute (http://www.wiiw.at/e/upcoming_events.html) and local scholarly conferences and workshops e.g. by the Austrian National Bank (http://www.oenb.at/en/) or at local universities.
Midterm exam 20%; final exam 30%; class participation 20%; term paper proposal 10%; term paper 20%.
1: Risk, Financial Management and Governance Culture – European aspects of the crisis
Intro to debt and risk management, foreign exchange risks and hedging. Intercultural competence: socio-economic roots of differences in EU banking; corporate governance in EU/US compared.
2: The Monetary Regime in Europe before EMU
The European Monetary System & the Exchange Rate Mechanism 1, The Changeover to the Euro, entry criteria and how Greece and others cheated these.
3: Implications of EMU/EU Financial Integration and the current financial crisis
European Central Bank and economic policy, economic and political implications of EMU; implications to banking and financial markets, to capital and foreign exchange markets, how companies had to adapt. Revision of the Stability & Growth Pact; Pros and cons for the UK to join. The Greek debt problem, the European Stabilization Mechanism, and issues of cross-border banking.
4: EMU and the US-$ in the global financial crisis; Ongoing EMU-enlargement
The Euro´s international role and implications to $/U.S., the euro and implementation in New EU Member States from Central and Eastern Europe.
Research exercises on:
Module 1:
Risk, Financial Management and Governance Culture – European aspects of the crisis
Introduction to risk management (Readings part 1/1):
Functions and types of financial risks, financial markets and market participants. sources of finance and the cost of capital. The determinants of market interest rates. capital formation process and money. Differences between the U.S. and Europe. The current global financial crisis, causes and particular European issues (including http://crisisofcredit.com/)
Foreign exchange risks and internal hedging techniques (readings 1/2)
The nature of a companies´ foreign exchange exposure: measurement and risk identification. Understanding what is going on the market, forecasts and steps for effective forex risk management. Company-internal techniques for hedging risk.
Intercultural Competence: socio-economic roots of differences in EU banking (readings 1/3)
An introduction into functions and types of financial markets and participants. The capital formation process and the different emphasis in „fluid“ capital-market-driven (US) vs. „dedicated“ universal banking-driven (continental European) markets. Different reform paths in the US and the EU.
Corporate Governance in the EU (readings 1 / 4)
Characteristics of corporate finance and corporate governance in the euro area compared to the U.S: ownership structure and investor relations (financial stake-holder relations…), financial transparency and information disclosure (accounting practices, “comply or explain” …), board management structure and process (the role of non-executive directors, stock option plans …).
Module 2: The Monetary Regime in Europe before EMU
Pre-reading: EU-Institutions and Membership
The EU Commission, The EU Council, The EU Parliament and their tasks. The Copenhagen EU-membership criteria and their application.
The evolutionary Process since 1945 (readings 2/1):
From Bretton Woods to the European Monetary System; pegging, floating, managed float. The creation of monetary zones and optimal currency areas.
The European Monetary System and the Exchange Rate Mechanism as Predecessors to EMU (readings 2/2)
Coordination of European monetary and exchange rate policies since 1957. The European Monetary System as an intermediate model towards EMU. Functions and usage of the ECU. EU-legislation for the financial sector and resulting implications.
The Changeover to the Euro (readings 2/3)
The introduction of the single EU currency "Euro" in non-cash format (1999), participants and convergency criteria, timetable, determination of conversion rates, the tasks during the dual cash-period in early 2002; how governments cheated in EMU-entry, and the role of derivatives.
Module 3: Implications of EMU/EU Financial Integration and the current financial crisis
EMU: The European Central Bank and Economic Policy (readings 3/1)
Goals and instruments monetary policy in general. Comparing the US-Fed to the European System of Central Banks (ESCB); the ECB´s institutional setting, monetary policy instruments & economic policy within the Eurozone (http://www.ecb.int/pub/pdf/other/escb_web_2011en.pdf see also http://www.ecb.int/ecb/educational/html/index.en.html) and measures set during the financial crisis.
The Stability and Growth Pact and the European Stabilization Fund/Mechanism (readings 3/2)
The conduct of monetary and fiscal policies within EMU, the non-compliance of Greece and others. Rationale, changes and implications of the SGP (http://www.ecb.int/pub/pdf/scpops/ecbocp129.pdf). Government solvency in EU countries; the EUR 750 bn (USD 950 bn) stabilization fund & rescue package and central bank and the EFSF (European Financial Stability Facility) and the European Stability Fund as its permanent successor help to defend the Euro (http://www.efsf.europa.eu/about/index.htm)
Economic & Political Implications of EMU: Should the UK join? (readings 3/3)
Opportunities & risks of Monetary Union, the case for and the case against EMU. Pros´ & cons of Monetary Union to economies & business. Optimal Currency Area (OCA) theory and conditions, including http://www.econ.ku.dk/okombe/intmonecon/slidesch13part1.pdf and part 2.
EMU & Banking Integration in the EU: (readings 3/4)
Effects of EMU on the banking systems, bank consolidation and cross-border banking. Banking strategies after the Euro, how companies had to adapt. Challenges for EU cross border bank supervision, the functions of the European Systemic Risk Board (ESRB) and the European System of Financial Supervisors, including the European Banking Authority and its “stress tests”.
EMU & Capital Market Integration in the EU (readings 3/5):
European stock and bond markets, privatization and small-caps after EMU. Implications of the Euro to bond, stock and derivatives markets. Stock exchanges in the battle for efficiency and markets. Ongoing reforms efforts by the EU Commission. The EU sovereign debt markets, government bonds, the current financial crisis and the European Securities and Markets (supervisory) Authority.
Module 4: EMU and the US-$ in the global financial crisis; Ongoing EMU-Enlargement
The Euro´s International Role and Implications to $/U.S.A. (4/1)
The Euro as international unit of account, medium of exchange and store of value in the private and official markets. Implications of the Euro for international financial markets, for the U.S. Federal Reserve System and the U.S. Dollar.
The Euro in Central & Eastern Europe & EMU (4/2)
Slovenia (2007) and Slovakia (2009) already introduced the Euro, Estonia will join in 2011. Seven more Central and Eastern European (CEE) countries that joined the EU in 2004/2007 are obliged to introduce the Euro, i.e. to join the Euro zone upon fulfilling the Maastricht criteria, while the Euro is already in use in parts of former Yugoslavia. CEE thus is already an extended euro area. We will discuss the criteria (should the same criteria be applied for countries still in transition from a planned to a market economy as was the case for stable economies?, candidates and process; economic, institutional and political prerequisites for participation in EMU; ERM II and how to prepare, taking the introduction of the Euro in Slovakia and Slovenia as recent examples.
Movie
Research search engines for academic papers
Peter R. Haiss earned a Ph.D. (Dr. Habil.) in Business Administration from the WU Vienna University of Economics and Business, Vienna, Austria, and a MBA from the University of Illinois at Urbana- Champaign, U.S.A. He is currently lecturer at WU Vienna University of Economics and Business where since 1996 he has taught seminars and lectures on Financial Sector Foreign Direct Investment (FDI), Automotive FDI, EU-enlargement and European Financial/Economic Integration and heads a research team on the impact of the financial sector on the economy. He also is with UniCredit Bank Austria in Vienna, Austria. Current research areas focus on the finance-growth nexus/financial sector transition/integration in the EU and Central and Eastern Europe as well as on international business/strategy and competitiveness (FDI, CEE strategies, financial and automotive industries). To access his papers see http://ssrn.com/author=115752 or http://wu-wien.academia.edu/PeterHaiss/Papers.
Among his more recent publications are: